Economic Forecasting 宏观经济指标预测与研究 Macro Indicators, Forecasts & Research
更新于 2026-04-07 09:19:24 Updated 2026-04-07 09:19:24
发布历史工作面 Release History Workbench

发布历史与公开版本 Release History & Public Vintages

把七个公开指标的正式发布时间历史、当前值、前值、下一预测与公开版本轨迹集中到同一工作面。 Bring the seven published indicators together on one surface with official release history, current value, prior value, next forecast, and the public vintage trail.

工作面概况 Workbench overview

本次更新有 5 个公开指标进入当前决策月,其余指标仍按各自官方节奏等待发布。 5 published indicators entered the current decision month in this release; the rest are still waiting on their official cadence.

跟踪指标 Tracked signals 7 个指标 7 signals

当前公开范围固定为七个正式指标。 The public scope stays fixed at the seven published signals.

本周期已更新 Updated this cycle 5 个指标 5 signals

本次更新有 5 个公开指标进入当前决策月,其余指标仍按各自官方节奏等待发布。 5 published indicators entered the current decision month in this release; the rest are still waiting on their official cadence.

按节奏待发布 Awaiting cadence 2 个指标 2 signals

这些指标仍在各自的正常官方发布时间窗口内等待下一次正式值。 These signals are still inside their normal official release windows while waiting for the next print.

当前主信号 Lead signal 10Y-2Y美债利差 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread

10Y-2Y美债利差 较上一正式值下行 0.01%。 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread fell by 0.01% versus the prior official reading.

筛选、分享与导出 Filters, sharing, and export

统一用 query string 保存 signal / view 视图,可直接复制当前链接、导出当前表格,或打印为 PDF 快照。 Use query string to preserve the signal and view selection, then share the current URL, export the active table, or print a PDF snapshot.

指标 Signal
视图 View

我的关注清单与本地提醒 My watchlist and local alerts

把最重要的公开指标保存在本地关注清单里,并按 watchlist / priority / all 三种模式查看当前最该盯住的信号。这里不做服务端推送,只做本地工作台提醒。 Keep the most important public indicators in a local watchlist and review them through watchlist, priority, or all modes. This surface stays local-only and does not introduce server-side alert delivery.

提醒范围 Alert scope
关注清单还是空的 Your watchlist is empty

从下方信号卡片或单指标终端把指标加入关注清单后,这里会自动显示本地提醒。 Add signals from the cards below or from any single-indicator terminal, and this section will immediately show the local alert surface.

T10Y2Y 日频 Daily

10Y-2Y美债利差 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread

已更新 Updated

本决策月内已有新的正式信息进入站点。 A new official release has entered the site during the current decision month.

最近正式值 Latest official
0.50%

2026-04-06

下一预测 Next forecast
0.50%

2026-04-07

紧迫度 Urgency
HIGH

10Y-2Y美债利差 较上一正式值下行 0.01%。 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread fell by 0.01% versus the prior official reading.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
DGS10 日频 Daily

10年期美债收益率 10Y Treasury Yield

已更新 Updated

本决策月内已有新的正式信息进入站点。 A new official release has entered the site during the current decision month.

最近正式值 Latest official
4.35%

2026-04-03

下一预测 Next forecast
4.35%

2026-04-07

紧迫度 Urgency
HIGH

10年期美债收益率 较上一正式值上行 0.04%。 10Y Treasury Yield rose by 0.04% versus the prior official reading.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
DGS2 日频 Daily

2年期美债收益率 2Y Treasury Yield

已更新 Updated

本决策月内已有新的正式信息进入站点。 A new official release has entered the site during the current decision month.

最近正式值 Latest official
3.84%

2026-04-03

下一预测 Next forecast
3.84%

2026-04-07

紧迫度 Urgency
HIGH

2年期美债收益率 较上一正式值上行 0.05%。 2Y Treasury Yield rose by 0.05% versus the prior official reading.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
ICSA 周频 Weekly

初请失业金人数 Initial Jobless Claims

已更新 Updated

本决策月内已有新的正式信息进入站点。 A new official release has entered the site during the current decision month.

最近正式值 Latest official
202,000

2026-04-02

下一预测 Next forecast
285,219

2026-04-09

紧迫度 Urgency
HIGH

初请失业金人数 较上一正式值下行 9,000。 Initial Jobless Claims fell by 9,000 versus the prior official reading.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
PAYEMS 月频 Monthly

非农就业人数 Nonfarm Payrolls

已更新 Updated

本决策月内已有新的正式信息进入站点。 A new official release has entered the site during the current decision month.

最近正式值 Latest official
0

2026-04-03

下一预测 Next forecast
158,603

2026-05-01

紧迫度 Urgency
LOW

非农就业人数 较上一正式值上行 0。 Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 0 versus the prior official reading.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
INDPRO 月频 Monthly

工业生产 Industrial Production

按官方节奏待发布 Awaiting scheduled release

当前决策月内尚无新正式值,但这符合该指标的正常发布时间。 No new official value has been released in the current decision month yet, which is normal for this indicator.

最近正式值 Latest official
1.44

2026-03-16

下一预测 Next forecast
102.59

2026-04-15

紧迫度 Urgency
LOW

工业生产 本周期尚无新正式值,当前仍按既有正式发布节奏等待更新。 Industrial Production has no new official print this cycle yet and is still waiting on its normal release cadence.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal
PCEPILFE 月频 Monthly

核心PCE物价指数 Core PCE Price Index

按官方节奏待发布 Awaiting scheduled release

当前决策月内尚无新正式值,但这符合该指标的正常发布时间。 No new official value has been released in the current decision month yet, which is normal for this indicator.

最近正式值 Latest official
3.06

2026-02-27

下一预测 Next forecast
128.24

2026-04-30

紧迫度 Urgency
LOW

核心PCE物价指数 本周期尚无新正式值,当前仍按既有正式发布节奏等待更新。 Core PCE Price Index has no new official print this cycle yet and is still waiting on its normal release cadence.

进入单指标终端 Open indicator terminal

多信号对比 Signal compare

把最多 4 个公开指标放进同一个对比表里,统一查看最近正式值、前值、下一预测、最近发布时间和下一发布时间。当前对比列表会写入 URL 和 localStorage。 Keep up to four published signals in one compare table to review the latest official value, prior value, next forecast, latest release date, and next release date in one place. The active compare set is stored in both the URL and localStorage.

还没有加入任何对比信号 No signals in compare yet

从本页信号卡片或单指标终端把指标加入对比后,这里会自动生成多信号对比表。 Add signals to compare from this page or from any indicator terminal, and the table below will update automatically.

指标 Signal 最近正式值 Latest official 前值 Previous value 下一预测 Next forecast 最近发布时间 Latest release 下一发布时间 Next release 状态 Status
核心PCE物价指数 Core PCE Price Index PCEPILFE
3.06 3.01 128.24 2026-02-27 2026-04-30 按官方节奏待发布 Awaiting scheduled release
非农就业人数 Nonfarm Payrolls PAYEMS
0 0 158,603 2026-04-03 2026-05-01 已更新 Updated
工业生产 Industrial Production INDPRO
1.44 2.33 102.59 2026-03-16 2026-04-15 按官方节奏待发布 Awaiting scheduled release
10年期美债收益率 10Y Treasury Yield DGS10
4.35% 4.31% 4.35% 2026-04-03 2026-04-07 已更新 Updated
2年期美债收益率 2Y Treasury Yield DGS2
3.84% 3.79% 3.84% 2026-04-03 2026-04-07 已更新 Updated
10Y-2Y美债利差 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread T10Y2Y
0.50% 0.51% 0.50% 2026-04-06 2026-04-07 已更新 Updated
初请失业金人数 Initial Jobless Claims ICSA
202,000 211,000 285,219 2026-04-02 2026-04-09 已更新 Updated

如何阅读官方发布时间与公开版本 How to read official releases and public vintages

这一页把官方发布时间历史和公开站点稳定版本轨迹放在一起,但两者回答的是不同问题。前者回答数据何时由官方发布,后者回答公开站点何时把该版本真正展示给外部用户。 This page keeps official release history and public-site vintages together, but they answer different questions. One tells you when the source was officially released; the other tells you when that version became visible on the public site.

Official release Official release

官方机构公布该读数的时间。它定义正式值何时进入公共信息集。 The time when the source institution published the print. It defines when the official value entered the public information set.

Observed at Observed at

该正式值对应的观测期或观测点,例如月度样本期或周度终值日期。 The observed period or point associated with the print, such as a monthly sample period or week-ending date.

Site updated Site updated

公开站点这次完整发布实际完成的时间,用来说明用户何时在站点上看到新版本。 The time when the public site completed the corresponding release, showing when users could actually see the new version.

Public vintage Public vintage

这里只跟踪公开站点的稳定发布快照,不等价于完整数据库修订链,也不声称覆盖所有内部重算版本。 This layer tracks stable public-site snapshots only. It is not a full database revision chain and does not claim to cover every internal recomputation.

缓存兜底 Cached fallback

当上游抓数临时退化时,站点可能沿用上一版已验证的公开稳定值。它不等于新的 official release,只表示本轮发布沿用了已验证缓存。 When upstream fetching degrades temporarily, the site may carry forward the last verified public value. That does not equal a new official release; it means the current publication reused a verified cache.

发布可信度状态 Publication reliability states

accepted_only 表示只有可接受的模型统计警告;degraded_but_published 表示站点已发布,但部分数据抓取退化并沿用了稳定缓存;review_required 表示需要人工复核。 accepted_only means only acceptable model warnings were recorded; degraded_but_published means the site was published with some fetch degradation and verified cache fallback; review_required means the release needs manual review.

正式发布时间历史 Official release history

默认展示七个公开指标中当前所选信号的正式发布时间历史;切换到“公开版本视图”时,会把同一组正式发布时间历史作为当前可见的版本轨迹。 The default view shows the official release history for the selected signal. Switching to the public-vintage view keeps the same public release trail while framing it as the currently visible vintage path.

PCEPILFE 月频 Monthly

核心PCE物价指数 Core PCE Price Index

核心PCE物价指数 当前沿用 3.06 作为最近正式值;本周期尚无新正式发布,上一正式值为 3.01。 Core PCE Price Index is still carrying 3.06 as the latest official reading this cycle; no new official print has arrived yet and the prior official reading was 3.01.

最近正式值 Latest official value
3.06

2026-02-27

前值 Previous official value
3.01

核心PCE物价指数 本周期尚无新正式值,当前仍按既有正式发布节奏等待更新。 Core PCE Price Index has no new official print this cycle yet and is still waiting on its normal release cadence.

下一预测 Next forecast
128.24

2026-04-30

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-30 00:00

23 天后 In 23 days

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-02-27 2026-01-01 3.06 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-30 2025-12-01 3.01 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-12-31 2025-11-01 2.83 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-11-28 2025-10-01 2.76 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-10-31 2025-09-01 2.83 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-09-30 2025-08-01 2.91 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-08-29 2025-07-01 2.86 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-07-31 2025-06-01 2.81 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-06-30 2025-05-01 2.78 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-05-30 2025-04-01 2.61 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-04-30 2025-03-01 2.67 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-03-31 2025-02-01 2.97 历史正式值 Historical print
PAYEMS 月频 Monthly

非农就业人数 Nonfarm Payrolls

非农就业人数 本周期已更新,最新正式值 0 较上一正式值 0 上行 0。 Nonfarm Payrolls has updated this cycle, with the latest official reading of 0 rising 0 from the prior official value of 0.

最近正式值 Latest official value
0

2026-04-03

前值 Previous official value
0

非农就业人数 较上一正式值上行 0。 Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 0 versus the prior official reading.

下一预测 Next forecast
158,603

2026-05-01

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-05-01 00:00

24 天后 In 24 days

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-04-03 2026-03-01 0 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-03-06 2026-02-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-06 2026-01-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-02 2025-12-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-12-05 2025-11-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-11-07 2025-10-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-10-03 2025-09-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-09-05 2025-08-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-08-01 2025-07-01 1 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-07-04 2025-06-01 0 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-06-06 2025-05-01 1 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-05-02 2025-04-01 1 历史正式值 Historical print
INDPRO 月频 Monthly

工业生产 Industrial Production

工业生产 当前沿用 1.44 作为最近正式值;本周期尚无新正式发布,上一正式值为 2.33。 Industrial Production is still carrying 1.44 as the latest official reading this cycle; no new official print has arrived yet and the prior official reading was 2.33.

最近正式值 Latest official value
1.44

2026-03-16

前值 Previous official value
2.33

工业生产 本周期尚无新正式值,当前仍按既有正式发布节奏等待更新。 Industrial Production has no new official print this cycle yet and is still waiting on its normal release cadence.

下一预测 Next forecast
102.59

2026-04-15

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-15 00:00

8 天后 In 8 days

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-03-16 2026-02-01 1.44 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-16 2026-01-01 2.33 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-15 2025-12-01 1.35 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-12-15 2025-11-01 2.08 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-11-17 2025-10-01 1.75 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-10-15 2025-09-01 1.86 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-09-15 2025-08-01 1.19 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-08-15 2025-07-01 1.92 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-07-15 2025-06-01 0.58 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-06-16 2025-05-01 0.10 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-05-15 2025-04-01 0.88 历史正式值 Historical print
2025-04-15 2025-03-01 0.58 历史正式值 Historical print
DGS10 日频 Daily

10年期美债收益率 10Y Treasury Yield

10年期美债收益率 本周期已更新,最新正式值 4.35% 较上一正式值 4.31% 上行 0.04%。 10Y Treasury Yield has updated this cycle, with the latest official reading of 4.35% rising 0.04% from the prior official value of 4.31%.

最近正式值 Latest official value
4.35%

2026-04-03

前值 Previous official value
4.31%

10年期美债收益率 较上一正式值上行 0.04%。 10Y Treasury Yield rose by 0.04% versus the prior official reading.

下一预测 Next forecast
4.35%

2026-04-07

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-07 00:00

今天 Today

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-04-03 2026-04-03 4.35% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-02 2026-04-02 4.31% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-01 2026-04-01 4.33% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-03-31 2026-03-31 4.30% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-30 2026-03-30 4.35% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-27 2026-03-27 4.44% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-26 2026-03-26 4.42% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-25 2026-03-25 4.33% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-24 2026-03-24 4.39% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-23 2026-03-23 4.34% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-20 2026-03-20 4.39% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-19 2026-03-19 4.25% 历史正式值 Historical print
DGS2 日频 Daily

2年期美债收益率 2Y Treasury Yield

2年期美债收益率 本周期已更新,最新正式值 3.84% 较上一正式值 3.79% 上行 0.05%。 2Y Treasury Yield has updated this cycle, with the latest official reading of 3.84% rising 0.05% from the prior official value of 3.79%.

最近正式值 Latest official value
3.84%

2026-04-03

前值 Previous official value
3.79%

2年期美债收益率 较上一正式值上行 0.05%。 2Y Treasury Yield rose by 0.05% versus the prior official reading.

下一预测 Next forecast
3.84%

2026-04-07

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-07 00:00

今天 Today

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-04-03 2026-04-03 3.84% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-02 2026-04-02 3.79% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-01 2026-04-01 3.81% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-03-31 2026-03-31 3.79% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-30 2026-03-30 3.82% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-27 2026-03-27 3.88% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-26 2026-03-26 3.96% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-25 2026-03-25 3.84% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-24 2026-03-24 3.90% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-23 2026-03-23 3.83% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-20 2026-03-20 3.88% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-19 2026-03-19 3.79% 历史正式值 Historical print
T10Y2Y 日频 Daily

10Y-2Y美债利差 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread

10Y-2Y美债利差 本周期已更新,最新正式值 0.50% 较上一正式值 0.51% 下行 0.01%。 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread has updated this cycle, with the latest official reading of 0.50% falling 0.01% from the prior official value of 0.51%.

最近正式值 Latest official value
0.50%

2026-04-06

前值 Previous official value
0.51%

10Y-2Y美债利差 较上一正式值下行 0.01%。 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread fell by 0.01% versus the prior official reading.

下一预测 Next forecast
0.50%

2026-04-07

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-07 00:00

今天 Today

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-04-06 2026-04-06 0.50% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-03 2026-04-03 0.51% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-02 2026-04-02 0.52% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-04-01 2026-04-01 0.52% 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-03-31 2026-03-31 0.51% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-30 2026-03-30 0.53% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-27 2026-03-27 0.56% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-26 2026-03-26 0.46% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-25 2026-03-25 0.49% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-24 2026-03-24 0.49% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-23 2026-03-23 0.51% 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-20 2026-03-20 0.51% 历史正式值 Historical print
ICSA 周频 Weekly

初请失业金人数 Initial Jobless Claims

初请失业金人数 本周期已更新,最新正式值 202,000 较上一正式值 211,000 下行 9,000。 Initial Jobless Claims has updated this cycle, with the latest official reading of 202,000 falling 9,000 from the prior official value of 211,000.

最近正式值 Latest official value
202,000

2026-04-02

前值 Previous official value
211,000

初请失业金人数 较上一正式值下行 9,000。 Initial Jobless Claims fell by 9,000 versus the prior official reading.

下一预测 Next forecast
285,219

2026-04-09

下一发布时间 Next release
2026-04-09 00:00

2 天后 In 2 days

正式发布时间历史表 Official release table

这张表按最近到更早排序,固定保留最近 12 次正式发布时间、观测期和正式值。 This table stays sorted from latest to older prints and keeps the latest 12 official release dates, observed periods, and official values.

正式发布时间 Official release 观测期 Observed at 正式值 Official value 当前周期标记 Cycle flag
2026-04-02 2026-03-28 202,000 当前周期 Current cycle
2026-03-26 2026-03-21 211,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-19 2026-03-14 205,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-12 2026-03-07 213,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-03-05 2026-02-28 214,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-26 2026-02-21 211,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-19 2026-02-14 208,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-12 2026-02-07 230,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-02-05 2026-01-31 230,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-29 2026-01-24 211,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-22 2026-01-17 210,000 历史正式值 Historical print
2026-01-15 2026-01-10 201,000 历史正式值 Historical print